Sunday, 19 October 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Euro Steady Ahead of French No-Confidence Vote, Won by Political Crisi
Wednesday, 4 December 2024 17:04 WIB | EUR/USD |EUROPE Euro

The euro strengthened on Wednesday ahead of a French no-confidence vote, while the Australian dollar fell to a four-month low on slowing economic growth and gains resumed after South Korea's president resigned after declaring martial law.

The European common currency held steady at $1.0512 and 82.90 pence ahead of a vote by French lawmakers on a no-confidence motion that is almost certain to topple Prime Minister Michel Barnier's fragile coalition.

The debate is due to begin at 4 p.m. in Paris (1500 GMT), with a vote expected about three hours later, parliamentary officials said.

Barnier's dismissal would deepen the political crisis in the euro zone's second-largest economy, and could further weigh on the euro, which has fallen sharply since Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election.

"Unfavorable political developments in France continue to pose downside risks to the euro although they are not necessarily enough to trigger further declines," analysts at MUFG said.

Euro watchers are also looking ahead to comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde later in the day.

Earlier on Wednesday, the Australian dollar slumped as much as 1.22% to its lowest since Aug. 4 at $0.6408 after data showed the economy grew at its slowest annual pace since the pandemic in the third quarter.

Markets are fully pricing in a rate cut next April from a previous 73% and the currency was last at $0.6429.

"Weak annual growth in spending and ongoing pressure on household disposable incomes - even with ongoing tax cuts - point to a weaker fundamental picture," said Pat Bustamente, senior economist at Westpac.

Attention is also on South Korea's victory, which regained ground on Wednesday after plunging overnight following President Yoon Suk Yeol's declaration of martial law, which was rescinded hours later.

The dollar was last down 0.7% at 1,414 won, having jumped 1.6% overnight. But politics remain in focus and South Korean lawmakers on Wednesday called on Yoon to resign or face impeachment.

Traders said the country's central bank may have supported the won at the open on Wednesday by selling dollars.

"In the short term, you have to think it's going to be hard for the won to do well: (There's) a poor structural backdrop, the domestic economy looks weak, you have a central bank that is likely to come in and do more (easing) than previously expected, and on top of that, political malaise," said Rob Carnell, ING's regional head of research for Asia-Pacific.

"The fact that the dollar generally looks stronger than others by default (makes it) almost a perfect storm."

The dollar also gained against the Japanese yen, which rose 0.5% to 150.43, after media reports that cast doubt on market expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this month caused government bond yields to fall. [JP/]

In dollar-specific developments, the currency found some support on Tuesday after data showed U.S. job openings rose modestly in October while layoffs fell, even as Federal Reserve officials on the day offered no firm guidance on what they intend to do at the conclusion of their next policy meeting in two weeks' time.

Traders await monthly payrolls data on Friday for further clues on the outlook for interest rates, while the private payrolls report due on Wednesday will provide a preview.

The market-implied chance of a quarter-point rate cut on Dec. 18 was last at 75%, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool.

The pound was flat at $1.2674, ahead of Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks.

Source: Investing.com

RELATED NEWS
EUR/USD holds steady as weak U.S. jobs data offsets shutdown risks...
Thursday, 2 October 2025 05:11 WIB

EUR/USD is steady late during the North American session as investors digest a soft jobs report and shrugs off the shutdown of the US government. The lack of an agreement between the White House and D...

EUR/USD steadies as shutdown fears weigh on Dollar...
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 06:24 WIB

EUR/USD holds firm on Tuesday during the North American session, although the Dollar weakens due to fears of a possible government shutdown that could disrupt the release of crucial jobs data for Fed ...

EUR/USD edges higher as US shutdown fears weigh on the Dollar...
Tuesday, 30 September 2025 06:29 WIB

EUR/USD registers gains of over 0.20% on Monday amid worries of a possible government shutdown in the US, while data in the Eurozone, showed that sentiment improved but failed to propel the shared cur...

EUR/USD strengthens above 1.1700! ...
Monday, 29 September 2025 08:31 WIB

EUR/USD continued its rally for the second consecutive session, trading around 1.1720 during the Asian session on Monday. The pair strengthened as the US dollar (USD) weakened after the August US infl...

EUR/USD languishes near lows ahead of the US PCE Price Index release...
Friday, 26 September 2025 18:48 WIB

EUR/USD is posting moderate gains on Friday, trading near 1.1675 at the time of writing on Friday from 1.1645 daily lows, but remains on track for a 0.55% weekly decline. In the United States (US), a ...

LATEST NEWS
Wall Street Rises as Trade Concerns Ease

US stocks rose on Friday (October 17th) as investors reacted positively to President Trump's remarks alleviating concerns about further trade escalation with China, while regional bank stocks rebounded after Thursday's sharp declines. The S&P...

Oil Suffers Weekly Loss As Global Conflicts Ease, Signs Of Oversupply Emerge

Oil prices posted a slight increase on Friday (October 17th), but were close to a weekly loss of nearly 3% after the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast a widening oversupply, and U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir...

Gold Prices Plunge 2% From Record High As Trump Plays Down Threats Against China

Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell 2% after hitting a record high of $4,379 on Friday (October 17th), falling below $4,250, triggered by comments by US President Donald Trump that triple-digit tariffs against China were unsustainable. At the time of...

POPULAR NEWS
Fed's Waller favors 25-basis-point rate cut in October amid job market worries
Thursday, 16 October 2025 20:21 WIB

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday he's on board with another interest rate cut at the U.S. central bank's policy meeting...

Trump and Putin Speak Thursday Ahead of Meeting with Zelenskiy (4)
Thursday, 16 October 2025 23:17 WIB

US President Donald Trump said he spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, a day before meeting with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy. "This...

US Equities Plunge On Bank Losses And Trade Concerns
Friday, 17 October 2025 04:00 WIB

Wall Street stocks fell on Thursday (October 16th), losing earlier gains as resurgent credit concerns and ongoing US-China trade tensions weighed on...

European Stocks Steady with French Politics in Focus; Nestlé Surges
Thursday, 16 October 2025 14:33 WIB

European stocks fell as investors digested the latest earnings reports and awaited the outcome of a no-confidence vote in France. Nestlé SA jumped...